ANALYSIS: Market preps for ETS reforms that slow the cap’s decline, but new industrial support vehicle still “a major unknown”

Published 11:26 on July 15, 2026 / Last updated at 11:26 on July 15, 2026 / / EMEA (Compliance Markets & Taxes, Europe), Insights (Analysis), International (Aviation/CORSIA, CBAM & Tariffs, Paris Article 6/PACM, Shipping), Net Zero Transition (Industrial Decarbonisation, Power/Electrification)

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Market analysts are preparing for a European Commission reform proposal that would significantly slow the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) cap reductions after 2030 – but looming uncertainties, especially on how support for industry will interact with existing market mechanisms, is raising concerns of a bearish shock upon Friday's announcement.
Market analysts are preparing for a European Commission reform proposal that would significantly slow the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) cap reductions after 2030 – but looming uncertainties, especially on how support for industry will interact with existing market mechanisms, is raising concerns of a bearish shock upon Friday's announcement.


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