ANALYSIS: EU ETS reform proposals “materially bearish”, to add hundreds of millions to post-2030 carbon allowance budget

Published 16:26 on July 17, 2026 / Last updated at 17:09 on July 17, 2026 / / CO2 Management (CCUS, Engineered Removals), EMEA (Compliance Markets & Taxes, Europe), Insights (Analysis), International (Aviation/CORSIA, CBAM & Tariffs, Paris Article 6/PACM, Shipping), Net Zero Transition (Industrial Decarbonisation, Investment, Reporting & Disclosure, Power/Electrification, Transport & Heating Fuels)

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The European Commission's proposed EU ETS reforms are bearish for long-term carbon prices in the bloc and could add as many as 450 million additional permits to the market's carbon budget between 2031-40, as a looser emissions cap and allowances for carbon removals more than offset tighter Market Stability Reserve (MSR) rules, analysts have said.
The European Commission's proposed EU ETS reforms are bearish for long-term carbon prices in the bloc and could add as many as 450 million additional permits to the market's carbon budget between 2031-40, as a looser emissions cap and allowances for carbon removals more than offset tighter Market Stability Reserve (MSR) rules, analysts have said.


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